Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Espanol
32.5%
Draw
24.3%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Espanol
vs
0.70
Burgos
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.582.6%
Over 1.551.9%
Over 2.525.4%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
17.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).