Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Wolves
31.8%
Draw
45.7%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Wolves
vs
1.32
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
13.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).