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26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.8%
Nottingham Forest
30.0%
Draw
28.2%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Nottingham Forest

vs
1.12

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).