Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Dijon
33.4%
Draw
25.4%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Dijon
vs
0.64
Bastia
Markets
BTTS27.4%
Over 0.579.9%
Over 1.545.1%
Over 2.520.6%
Over 3.57.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.3%
0-0
20.1%
0-1
14.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
3-0
2.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).