Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Kalmar
22.7%
Draw
25.5%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Kalmar
vs
1.46
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS68.6%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).