Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Reggina
26.7%
Draw
21.2%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Reggina
vs
0.99
Crotone
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).