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20 Sept 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.0%
Dynamo Makhachkala
30.1%
Draw
48.9%
Lokomotiv Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Dynamo Makhachkala

vs
1.41

Lokomotiv Moskva

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).