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HHT: 10CSV

23 Jan 2016

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.7%
Queen of Sth
26.4%
Draw
25.9%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Queen of Sth

vs
1.29

Alloa

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).