Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.4%
Benevento
14.5%
Draw
76.1%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Benevento
vs
2.63
Juventus
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.0%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
6.7%
0-4
6.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-5
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).