Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Auxerre
25.1%
Draw
26.9%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Auxerre
vs
1.00
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).