Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Spal
25.6%
Draw
16.5%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Spal
vs
0.83
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).