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AHT: 01CSV

05 Sept 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Kidderminster
36.8%
Draw
22.3%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Kidderminster

vs
0.63

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS30.0%
Over 0.578.6%
Over 1.548.3%
Over 2.521.5%
Over 3.57.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
21.4%
1-0
18.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
1.9%
2-2
1.9%
0-3
0.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).