Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Sp Gijon
23.5%
Draw
18.8%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Sp Gijon
vs
0.86
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).