Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.2%
Lorient
13.1%
Draw
6.7%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Lorient
vs
0.53
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
1-0
12.9%
3-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
6.1%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).