Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.4%
Celta
23.8%
Draw
13.8%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Celta
vs
0.68
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).