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AHT: 00CSV

16 Dec 2023 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.0%
Darmstadt
23.5%
Draw
56.5%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Darmstadt

vs
1.93

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).