Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Cardiff
27.5%
Draw
20.0%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Cardiff
vs
0.87
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).