Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Getafe
28.3%
Draw
20.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Getafe
vs
0.79
Almeria
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).