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AHT: 11CSV

22 Oct 2022 · 15:00

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.6%
Rotherham
24.3%
Draw
57.2%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Rotherham

vs
1.83

Hull

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-4
2.9%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).