Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Rostov
31.2%
Draw
19.6%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Rostov
vs
0.76
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.7%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).