Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Ath Madrid
18.8%
Draw
11.4%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Ath Madrid
vs
0.76
Espanol
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).