Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Tranmere
24.2%
Draw
51.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Tranmere
vs
1.58
Exeter
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).