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14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.1%
Curzon Ashton
19.2%
Draw
41.7%
Tipton Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Curzon Ashton

vs
2.24

Tipton Town

Markets

BTTS79.0%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.581.6%
Over 3.564.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-3
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
3-3
3.9%
0-2
3.0%
2-4
3.0%
0-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).