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HHT: 10CSV

14 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.9%
Eibar
25.4%
Draw
20.7%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Eibar

vs
0.90

Levante

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).