Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Oviedo
34.4%
Draw
27.0%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Oviedo
vs
0.71
Alaves
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.580.6%
Over 1.548.4%
Over 2.522.5%
Over 3.58.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.4%
1-0
18.1%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).