Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.7%
Birmingham
24.8%
Draw
67.5%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
Birmingham
vs
1.60
Burnley
Markets
BTTS25.6%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
21.6%
0-2
17.7%
0-0
14.5%
0-3
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
4.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-1
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).