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25 Oct 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.9%
Gent
28.6%
Draw
27.5%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Gent

vs
1.00

Standard

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).