Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →96.6%
Sp Lisbon
2.7%
Draw
0.7%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
4.38
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.34
AVS
Markets
BTTS28.3%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.8%
Over 2.584.9%
Over 3.569.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
13.8%
3-0
12.6%
5-0
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
5-1
4.1%
1-0
4.0%
2-1
2.9%
1-1
1.3%
0-0
0.8%
4-2
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).