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26 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Bradford
25.8%
Draw
25.8%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Bradford

vs
0.96

Crewe

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).