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20 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.9%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
34.2%
Draw
27.0%
Knaphill

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.

vs
0.70

Knaphill

Markets

BTTS29.6%
Over 0.580.3%
Over 1.547.3%
Over 2.521.8%
Over 3.58.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.7%
1-0
18.6%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
3-1
1.7%
0-3
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).