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17 Mar 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.8%
Konyaspor
22.1%
Draw
70.1%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Konyaspor

vs
2.18

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.8%
1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.5%
0-3
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-2
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
0-5
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).