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AHT: 12CSV

07 Oct 2023 · 18:00

Angers

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.6%
Amiens
21.5%
Draw
52.9%
Angers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Amiens

vs
1.79

Angers

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.3%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).