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HHT: 11CSV

03 May 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Besiktas
24.5%
Draw
15.6%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.17

Besiktas

vs
1.08

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).