Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.1%
M'gladbach
26.7%
Draw
34.1%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
M'gladbach
vs
1.35
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).