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AHT: 02CSV

17 May 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.6%
La Coruna
27.6%
Draw
30.9%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

La Coruna

vs
1.06

Granada

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).