Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Mallorca
27.5%
Draw
48.5%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Mallorca
vs
1.45
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).