Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Mantova
22.6%
Draw
59.2%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Mantova
vs
2.07
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).