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DHT: 10CSV

31 Jan 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Woking
28.4%
Draw
30.0%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Woking

vs
1.16

Torquay

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).