Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Swansea
28.1%
Draw
27.6%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Swansea
vs
1.11
QPR
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).