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31 Jan 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.9%
Dunkerque
19.1%
Draw
13.9%
Martigues

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Dunkerque

vs
0.73

Martigues

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).