Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Eastleigh
25.0%
Draw
23.6%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Eastleigh
vs
1.16
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).