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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.4%
Wrexham
18.6%
Draw
57.0%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Wrexham

vs
2.44

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS72.0%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-3
5.4%
0-1
4.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
2-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).