Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.2%
Notts County
19.9%
Draw
15.9%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Notts County
vs
0.87
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).