Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Charleroi
22.5%
Draw
17.2%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Charleroi
vs
0.96
Dender
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).