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AHT: 01CSV

12 Mar 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
Bradford
21.5%
Draw
15.0%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Bradford

vs
0.73

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).