Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Fleetwood Town
21.4%
Draw
56.9%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.78
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
10.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).