Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Torquay
20.6%
Draw
65.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Torquay
vs
2.21
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).