Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.5%
Las Palmas
17.8%
Draw
7.7%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Las Palmas
vs
0.49
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.6%
1-0
16.2%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.8%
0-0
7.8%
4-0
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-0
2.4%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).