Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Luton
25.1%
Draw
27.6%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Luton
vs
0.98
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).