Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.6%
Lincoln
17.9%
Draw
12.5%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Lincoln
vs
0.71
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).